What does 538 mean?
FiveThirtyEight, sometimes rendered as 538, is a website that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008 as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver.
Why isn’t the 538 polling database publicly available?
As for why the complete 538 polling database had not been released publicly, Silver responded: “The principal reason is because I don’t know that I’m legally entitled to do so.
How many states did silver’s 538 model predict correctly?
The 538 model correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Silver, along with at least two academic-based analysts who aggregated polls from multiple pollsters, thus not only correctly predicted all 50 states, but also all nine ” swing states “.
How does FiveThirtyEight’s MLB forecast work?
FiveThirtyEight’s MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. Updated Sep. 3, 2021, at 12:05 AM 2021…